Yellen Warns Not to Take Reforms Too Far

By Bill Poquette, Editor-in-Chief, BankNews Magazine 

Answering critics who have suggested regulatory actions spawned by the Great Recession are inhibiting economic growth, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen countered with a strong defense of the measures taken to spur recovery in her keynote speech at the annual symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in Jackson Hole, Wyo.

“The events of the crisis demanded action, needed reforms were implemented, and these reforms have made the system safer,” she said. “Now — a decade from the onset of the crisis and nearly seven years since the passage of the Dodd-Frank Act and international agreement on the key banking reforms — a new question is being asked: Have reforms gone too far, resulting in a financial system that is too burdened to support prudent risk-taking and economic growth?”

The effects of capital regulation on credit availability have been investigated extensively, Yellen explained.

“Some studies suggest that higher capital weighs on banks’ lending, while others suggest that higher capital supports lending,” she said. “Such conflicting results in academic research are not altogether surprising. It is difficult to identify the effects of regulatory capital requirements on lending because material changes to capital requirements are rare and are often precipitated, as in the recent case, by financial crises that also have large effects on lending.

“Given the uncertainty regarding the effect of capital regulation on lending, rulemakings of the Federal Reserve and other agencies were informed by analyses that balanced the possible stability gains from greater loss-absorbing capacity against the possible adverse effects on lending and economic growth, Yellen continued. “This ex ante assessment pointed to sizable net benefits to economic growth from higher capital standards–and subsequent research supports this assessment. The steps to improve the capital positions of banks promptly and significantly following the crisis, beginning with the 2009 Supervisory Capital Assessment Program, have resulted in a return of lending growth and profitability among U.S. banks more quickly than among their global peers.”

The Federal Reserve chair conceded that while material adverse effects of capital regulation on broad measures of lending are not readily apparent, credit may be less available to some borrowers, especially homebuyers with less-than-perfect credit histories and, perhaps, small businesses.

“In retrospect,” said Yellen, “mortgage borrowing was clearly too easy for some households in the mid-2000s, resulting in debt burdens that were unsustainable and ultimately damaging to the financial system. Currently, many factors are likely affecting mortgage lending, including changes in market perceptions of the risk associated with mortgage lending; changes in practices at the government-sponsored enterprises and the Federal Housing Administration; changes in technology that may be contributing to entry by nonbank lenders; changes in consumer protection regulations; and, perhaps to a limited degree, changes in capital and liquidity regulations within the banking sector. These issues are complex and interact with a broader set of challenges related to the domestic housing finance system.”

Credit appears broadly available to small businesses with solid credit histories, according to Yellen, who conceded again that indicators point to some difficulties facing firms with weak credit scores and insufficient credit histories.

“Small business formation is critical to economic dynamism and growth,” she said. “Smaller firms rely disproportionately on lending from smaller banks, and the Federal Reserve has been taking steps and examining additional steps to reduce unnecessary complexity in regulations affecting smaller banks.”

Addressing regulation of the financial markets, Yellen noted that many participants have expressed concerns about the ability to transact in volume at low cost — that is, about market liquidity, particularly in certain fixed-income markets such as that for corporate bonds.

“Market liquidity for corporate bonds remains robust overall,” she argued, “and the healthy condition of the market is apparent in low bid-ask spreads and the large volume of corporate bond issuance in recent years.”

There may be benefits to simplifying aspects of the Volcker rule, Yellen acknowledged, which limits proprietary trading by banking firms, and to reviewing the interaction of the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio with risk-based capital requirements.

“At the same time, the new regulatory framework overall has made dealers more resilient to shocks, and, in the past, distress at dealers following adverse shocks has been an important factor driving market illiquidity,” she pointed out. “As a result, any adjustments to the regulatory framework should be modest and preserve the increase in resilience at large dealers and banks associated with the reforms put in place in recent years.

“Substantial progress has been made toward the Federal Reserve’s economic objectives of maximum employment and price stability, in putting in place a regulatory and supervisory structure that is well designed to lower the risks to financial stability,” Yellen said, “and in actually achieving a stronger financial system.

“Our more resilient financial system is better prepared to absorb, rather than amplify, adverse shocks, as has been illustrated during periods of market turbulence in recent years,” Yellen added. “Enhanced resilience supports the ability of banks and other financial institutions to lend, thereby supporting economic growth through good times and bad.”